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Post by Delphox on Feb 26, 2019 2:17:42 GMT
Weird, if you literally reversed your list, other then switching Regi and Tapu, that would be my ranking of people most/less likely to win. Wait so does that mean you think Celebi is the top contender in this game and Hoopa is at the bottom? I get the social game but honestly I don't see why anyone would vote for Celebi unless the finals are Deoxys and Tapu Lele with her and Deoxys has a FaBuLoUs melt down and lets the game slip through his many tentacled fingers. I'd wager just about anyone else beat Celebi.
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Post by Delphox on Feb 26, 2019 2:19:24 GMT
Tapu Lele won't win this game unless the newbies all throw her a bone. I doubt the vets on the jury will respect the "I did nothing offensive <3" play. We'd be looking at atleast 3 vets on the jury, so that gives her a steep hill to climb.
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Post by Wallace on Feb 26, 2019 2:21:04 GMT
did you see celebi's (i believe it was him) comments about that tapu didn't PM them for a day at a time sometimes and was terifically hard to talk to? tapu is in a worse place than you are all giving her credit, in my opinion. She may get there but she will be the goat that the entire game thinks she is.
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Post by Charizard on Feb 26, 2019 2:21:18 GMT
If it's a final 2 or even a final 3, I agree Celebi is a very hot contender to win. She's done nothing to anger people yet. I could see her beating Poipoi, Tapulele, and Deoxys because each of these people may lose votes. Regi I'm not 100% convinced is a jury threat from a player point of view yet either.
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Post by Wallace on Feb 26, 2019 2:21:30 GMT
there will be a final 3.
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Post by Sabrina on Feb 26, 2019 2:28:45 GMT
Hoopa's ass is the hugest target in this game and if people somehow don't vote her out then she deserves to win, but she was indicated as the biggest social threat and second likeliest to win behind Cobalion, who is now gone. That position isn't good, it's like inevitable death. I also don't think Hoopa has the challenges strength to pull an immunity run. She has a chance still if she like idols at 5 and wins FIC but like..
It doesn't matter if Celebi can't beat anyone else when most people want to take Deoxys and Tapu, including Celebi. He knows who he needs to win against. If you're saying Celebi prob loses to Deoxys that's possible I guess. I don't know, I think people will care more that Deoxys was lying and stabbed them rather then that he made good moves. Celebi seems liked by the players.
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Post by Delphox on Feb 26, 2019 2:30:58 GMT
If it's a final 2 or even a final 3, I agree Celebi is a very hot contender to win. She's done nothing to anger people yet. I mean its hard to have done anything to anger people when you've also done literally nothing of importance. I haven't seen a move Celebi can claim as their own yet. They need to throw Hoopa under the bus and wrangle this Tapu/Deo trio asap. Once thats a solid thing, once Tapu Lele and Deo on on board you've sold me. Perhaps I'm just an old spiteful vet, but unless I am feeling truly, truly bitter to someone (like getting eliminated SAY final 3 by your best ally forever), I would never award a player a vote to win because they go to the end by not offending anyone. THAT SAID, there is one very strong point to having a Celebi win: The jury is going to be made up of primarily of Newbiies who aren't spiteful old bitches like most of the juries I've seen. So if any game would award the crown to someone for being the nicest player ever, this would be it.
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Post by Pikachu on Feb 26, 2019 2:55:52 GMT
Jesus fuck CC that Cobalion avatar fucking murdered me
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Post by Solgaleo on Feb 26, 2019 3:50:50 GMT
Yeah I kind of really want a Deox boot here. If your plan to win at FTC is to lie about everything, yeah...not gonna root for that.
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Post by Charizard on Feb 26, 2019 4:06:03 GMT
Deo keeps surprising me. He has things planned out more than I give him credit for.
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Post by Jasmine on Feb 26, 2019 4:44:22 GMT
I feel like I'm too innocent to compete with the schemey fucks we get these days.
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Post by Spewpa on Feb 26, 2019 5:22:18 GMT
I want to go attempt to scheme with all of them, but I think timezones will just leave me dead.
also reading the last episode thread made me feel like we had good enjoyment boost at the end of it, I'm now readying myself for the disapoointment to hit when it oesn't line up the same reading the confessionals.
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Post by Charizard on Feb 26, 2019 5:45:24 GMT
Lol. Cobaldion still doesn't know Deoxys turned on him and assumes he voted with him, and assumes it was Celebi or Hoopa who betrayed him. DESPITE Regi warning him Deoxys was flipping on him. Like this is getting comical at how long it takes for people to figure out Deoxys is playing both sides.
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Post by Charizard on Feb 26, 2019 6:00:30 GMT
I dont see anyone thinking Deo is a goat anymore. Whether or not this was a game changer remains to be seen, but Deo now has a feather in his cap that he can claim he killed off the biggest villain in the game. Dont think it's true, we don't know who or what truly swayed Poipole yet but I think this move atleast makes it look like Deo is playing to win. Tapu is still the main goat... I'd argue celebi is kinda a goat too, has Celebi really done anything yet to stand out from under Hoopa and Cobas shadows,? I've thought about this, and Deo is almost certainly becoming a power goat in my eyes. They have good moves, and a good strategic game, but they garburated all their likability doing it. He got people trusting him way too much before blindsiding them, and the blindsides will hurt too much. If he was a bit more honest in playing the middle, I think he'd be playing a fantastic game and the number 1 threat to win. Honestly it's a very minor tweak and doing it from the start wouldn't really alter his current position. (Because he still has huge shields like Hoopa and Meltan). As of right now though, I still don't see him winning.
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Post by Giratina on Feb 26, 2019 6:11:58 GMT
I APPRECIATE HOW MANY DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES AND IDEAS PEOPLE HAVE AS SPECS. IT'S NICE TO SEE THAT WE ALL HAVE THINGS ABOUT CONTESTANTS WE EACH APPRECIATE.
THINGS I DON'T NECESSARILY VALUE ARE VALUED BY PEOPLE LIKE SABRINA. THINGS I DON'T NECESSARILY VALUE ARE APPRECIATED BY CHARIZARD. WE EACH SEEM TO VALUE SPECIFIC THINGS. ITS KIND OF NICE THERE'S NOT ONE SPECIFIC PLAYER WE ARE ALL ROOTING FOR. IT MAKES IT MORE ENTERTAINING. GIRATINA APPROVES.
*BELLOW OF BELLOW*
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Post by Charizard on Feb 26, 2019 6:17:12 GMT
I'm just going to keep spamming as thoughts come to my mind. No one complains about spec activity anyway.
I'm pretty sure the winner is out of Poipoi, Celebi, and Regigas. (Or at least have about 90% of the win equity.)
Hoopa and Meltan are the two big spoopy threats remaining and I don't see anyone letting them get to the end, even with their immunity idol and challenge winning chops. I'd give them 2% each. Lulu is a goat it seems. 1% Deoxys is a power goat I think as mentioned above. I'll give him 5% since he does have skill and maybe it will work out.
Poipoi, Celebi, and Regigas seem to be in the sweet spot, and I'd probably give them 30% chance each? Each have pros and cons.
Poipoi is probably playing the cleanest strategic game and people did love her, but she seems to be lacking activity recently and her popularity is waning. Celebi's strategic game seems to be lacking and his position seems more luck from mpov, but doesn't have any negatives which might be enough to win. Regi is back in the good seat, but he's most likely to implode and lose his seat in the sweet spot. He recovered once, I don't think he'd recover again. I also think he's the most at risk of the three to be idoled out by Hoopa.
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Post by Wallace on Feb 26, 2019 6:26:00 GMT
I think hoopa can win and deoxys can win over poipole at this point.
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Post by Giratina on Feb 26, 2019 6:28:59 GMT
UHHHH COBALION IS NOW INTENTIONALLY LYING TO THE JURY TO INFLUENCE THINGS? THIS WILL BE INTERESTING. *TOO CONFUSED TO BELLOW*
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Post by Spewpa on Feb 26, 2019 6:29:53 GMT
Lol. Cobaldion still doesn't know Deoxys turned on him and assumes he voted with him, and assumes it was Celebi or Hoopa who betrayed him. DESPITE Regi warning him Deoxys was flipping on him. Like this is getting comical at how long it takes for people to figure out Deoxys is playing both sides. Deoxys is probably right in that he needs to get to the end with the valors, if only because that alliance actually worked it out. Well it also depends if he can get Hoopa/Celebi to believe the other flipped, but with Reggie's current pushes, i don't think there will be much chance of that.
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Post by Spewpa on Feb 26, 2019 6:32:14 GMT
Well that at least should liven up pondersoa.
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Post by Sabrina on Feb 26, 2019 6:43:42 GMT
Lying to the jury will work for as long as it takes for someone else to come in and say 'what the fuck Coba?'
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Post by Solgaleo on Feb 26, 2019 6:52:54 GMT
Can't wait for Uxie to say "you mean the idol I got voted out with"?
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Misty
Trainer Six
Posts: 29
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Post by Misty on Feb 26, 2019 12:30:30 GMT
Tapu Lele is going to BEAT THEM ALL
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Brock
Trainer Four
Nothing beats a jelly filled donut!
Posts: 48
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Post by Brock on Feb 26, 2019 14:50:24 GMT
I feel like I'm too innocent to compete with the schemey fucks we get these days. Holy hell I've been thinking the exact same thing.
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Post by Sabrina on Feb 26, 2019 15:34:26 GMT
But Jasmine you're the one who taught me how to be schemey
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